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Red74
331619.7
529116.9
458624.4
Blue75
157312.9
157727.7
598714.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665420304050607080907475

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4586
#15
24.40.6
22.022.6
Auto3.6
Teleop15.7
End5.2
blue by 3.2
27.71.6
22.324.0
Auto3.6
Teleop15.7
End8.3
Second
3316
#37
19.70.6
21.922.5
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End4.5
red by 5.5
5987
#41
14.21.6
17.619.2
Auto3.4
Teleop7.1
End3.7
Third
5291
#32
16.90.6
18.318.9
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End3.9
red by 4.0
1573
#44
12.91.6
10.812.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsEarned62%HAB Docking oddsEarned