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Red57
157419.9
433823.7
51359.8
Blue40
574711.5
674113.5
165713.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54402030506070805740

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.2
22.923.0
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End7.5
red by 10.2
6741
#12
13.50.0
13.513.6
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End3.5
Second
19.90.2
19.019.2
Auto4.1
Teleop8.9
End6.9
red by 6.5
1657
#18
13.40.0
13.413.4
Auto5.8
Teleop3.8
End3.7
Third
5135
#17
9.80.2
8.99.1
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End2.5
blue by 1.7
5747
#13
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto4.9
Teleop4.6
End1.9