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Red56
459014.8
193720.8
15738.8
Blue41
321112.1
529114.4
706710.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423920305060705641

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.4
19.319.7
Auto3.6
Teleop8.6
End8.5
red by 6.4
5291
#11
14.40.1
14.214.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End3.5
Second
4590
#10
14.80.4
13.313.7
Auto4.0
Teleop6.3
End4.5
red by 2.7
3211
#15
12.10.1
12.012.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End2.4
Third
1573
#21
8.80.4
7.27.6
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End1.6
blue by 1.8
7067
#24
10.60.1
10.510.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End1.0