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Red46
71125.0
193720.8
306513.8
Blue54
169027.0
157419.9
459014.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33521020406070804654

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.81.6
14.616.2
Auto3.6
Teleop8.6
End8.5
blue by 6.2
27.00.6
20.020.5
Auto3.1
Teleop16.3
End7.6
Second
13.81.6
10.111.7
Auto2.7
Teleop7.3
End3.8
blue by 6.1
19.90.6
15.015.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.9
End6.9
Third
7112
#29
5.01.6
6.68.2
Auto1.2
Teleop1.6
End2.2
blue by 9.8
4590
#10
14.80.6
13.914.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed