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Red34
321112.1
703915.1
43198.5
Blue38
563610.8
165713.4
22309.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303001020405060703438

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.10.1
13.713.7
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End4.7
red by 1.8
1657
#18
13.41.1
12.313.4
Auto5.8
Teleop3.8
End3.7
Second
3211
#15
12.10.1
9.69.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End2.4
red by 1.3
5636
#22
10.81.1
7.38.4
Auto3.2
Teleop5.7
End1.9
Third
4319
#26
8.50.1
5.45.3
Auto2.7
Teleop3.8
End1.9
blue by 1.3
2230
#19
9.81.1
8.69.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed