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Red41
306513.8
15738.8
598713.8
Blue36
15809.7
563610.8
157719.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3634253040454136

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5987
#14
13.80.4
15.115.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End1.3
blue by 5.7
19.50.4
16.516.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End6.3
Second
13.80.4
11.712.2
Auto2.7
Teleop7.3
End3.8
red by 2.9
5636
#22
10.80.4
8.48.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.7
End1.9
Third
1573
#21
8.80.4
7.17.6
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End1.6
blue by 0.9
1580
#23
9.70.4
7.78.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed