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Red38
47577.7
157419.9
67408.5
Blue70
433823.7
529114.4
555418.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31471020405060703870

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.9
15.816.8
Auto4.1
Teleop8.9
End6.9
blue by 3.8
23.72.5
19.922.4
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End7.5
Second
6740
#27
8.50.9
4.85.7
Auto4.0
Teleop1.6
End2.9
blue by 9.7
18.22.5
12.915.4
Auto3.3
Teleop12.6
End2.3
Third
4757
#31
7.70.9
8.99.9
Auto2.4
Teleop2.4
End2.9
blue by 6.7
5291
#11
14.42.5
11.313.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned52%HAB Docking oddsEarned