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Red46
459014.8
51359.8
529114.4
Blue20
67408.5
165713.4
15809.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362601020304050604620

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4590
#10
14.80.2
13.914.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.3
End4.5
red by 1.4
1657
#18
13.40.4
11.711.2
Auto5.8
Teleop3.8
End3.7
Second
5291
#11
14.40.2
13.914.0
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End3.5
red by 4.7
1580
#23
9.70.4
6.86.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.5
End2.3
Third
5135
#17
9.80.2
6.76.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End2.5
red by 1.3
6740
#27
8.50.4
5.75.3
Auto4.0
Teleop1.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsEarned16%HAB Docking oddsMissed