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Red8
22309.8
44165.3
43198.5
Blue13
15809.7
71125.0
15738.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403910202530354550813

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2230
#19
9.83.3
14.110.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End2.3
red by 0.2
1580
#23
9.73.3
11.58.2
Auto2.8
Teleop4.5
End2.3
Second
4319
#26
8.53.3
10.97.6
Auto2.7
Teleop3.8
End1.9
blue by 0.3
1573
#21
8.83.3
12.69.3
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End1.6
Third
4416
#30
5.33.3
12.69.3
Auto3.0
Teleop0.6
End1.7
red by 0.3
7112
#29
5.03.3
12.69.3
Auto1.2
Teleop1.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed