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Red20
47845.1
51359.8
43198.5
Blue33
674113.5
574711.5
673610.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2333010304050602033

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5135
#17
9.80.1
8.78.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End2.5
blue by 3.7
6741
#12
13.50.2
13.313.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End3.5
Second
4319
#26
8.50.1
7.27.0
Auto2.7
Teleop3.8
End1.9
blue by 3.0
5747
#13
11.50.2
9.59.7
Auto4.9
Teleop4.6
End1.9
Third
4784
#20
5.10.1
5.55.4
Auto2.2
Teleop2.1
End0.8
blue by 4.9
6736
#16
10.00.2
8.28.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed