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Red45
47577.7
193720.8
459014.8
Blue21
15738.8
75544.2
563610.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4026010203050604521

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.7
17.017.6
Auto3.6
Teleop8.6
End8.5
red by 10.0
5636
#22
10.80.3
11.110.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.7
End1.9
Second
4590
#10
14.80.6
12.413.0
Auto4.0
Teleop6.3
End4.5
red by 6.0
1573
#21
8.80.3
8.58.2
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End1.6
Third
4757
#31
7.70.7
8.39.0
Auto2.4
Teleop2.4
End2.9
red by 3.5
7554
#25
4.20.3
4.84.5
Auto1.0
Teleop1.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsEarned11%HAB Docking oddsMissed