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Red11
43198.5
15738.8
67408.5
Blue28
598713.8
616810.1
47845.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29381020501128

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1573
#21
8.82.2
9.37.1
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End1.6
blue by 5.0
5987
#14
13.80.9
16.615.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End1.3
Second
6740
#27
8.52.2
10.98.7
Auto4.0
Teleop1.6
End2.9
blue by 1.5
6168
#28
10.10.9
10.49.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.4
End1.8
Third
4319
#26
8.52.2
7.65.4
Auto2.7
Teleop3.8
End1.9
red by 3.3
4784
#20
5.10.9
9.38.4
Auto2.2
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed