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Red31
157419.9
433823.7
51359.8
Blue55
459014.8
193720.8
15738.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564520304050607080903155

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.7
23.622.9
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End7.5
red by 2.9
20.80.3
20.120.4
Auto3.6
Teleop8.6
End8.5
Second
19.90.7
19.719.0
Auto4.1
Teleop8.9
End6.9
red by 5.1
4590
#10
14.80.3
14.114.4
Auto4.0
Teleop6.3
End4.5
Third
5135
#17
9.80.7
9.69.0
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End2.5
red by 1.0
1573
#21
8.80.3
8.08.4
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End1.6