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Red56
307515.5
333921.9
599014.7
Blue58
595117.6
673817.3
194213.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52540204060801005658

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.90.0
20.920.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.3
End8.2
red by 4.3
5951
#21
17.60.1
18.418.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.2
End4.2
Second
15.50.0
14.614.6
Auto3.2
Teleop8.7
End3.5
blue by 1.9
6738
#12
17.30.1
18.018.0
Auto5.0
Teleop9.1
End3.3
Third
5990
#31
14.70.0
13.813.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.9
End3.1
red by 0.9
1942
#16
13.90.1
14.614.5
Auto2.4
Teleop6.5
End5.0