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Red36
19549.2
383516.5
223117.8
Blue41
610419.3
307515.5
209613.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37461020305060703641

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2231
#10
17.80.1
11.811.9
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End2.4
blue by 1.5
19.30.3
15.615.2
Auto5.5
Teleop10.5
End3.3
Second
3835
#25
16.50.1
13.213.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End4.5
red by 1.1
15.50.3
14.314.0
Auto3.2
Teleop8.7
End3.5
Third
1954
#26
9.20.1
10.310.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.5
End1.8
blue by 4.6
2096
#13
13.80.3
14.113.8
Auto5.8
Teleop4.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed