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Red28
307515.5
561415.6
563514.9
Blue45
338815.2
503816.1
458616.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4443303540452845

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5614
#18
15.61.5
13.011.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.6
End2.9
blue by 1.0
4586
#28
16.60.4
15.916.4
Auto4.4
Teleop11.5
End0.8
Second
3075
#5Sur
15.51.5
14.012.4
Auto3.2
Teleop8.7
End3.5
blue by 0.7
16.10.4
12.512.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.0
End3.3
Third
5635
#11
14.91.5
14.913.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End6.5
blue by 0.3
3388
#17Sur
15.20.4
12.613.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed