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Red36
383516.5
331618.0
307515.5
Blue31
563514.9
571511.3
263015.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4341354045503631

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.00.5
15.414.9
Auto5.4
Teleop8.6
End4.0
red by 2.3
2630
#22
15.71.2
16.315.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End2.8
Second
3835
#25
16.50.5
12.512.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End4.5
red by 1.6
5635
#11
14.91.2
13.412.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End6.5
Third
15.50.5
12.412.0
Auto3.2
Teleop8.7
End3.5
red by 4.2
5715
#29
11.31.2
9.48.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed