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Red72
610419.3
673613.8
194213.9
Blue38
209613.8
221211.2
592814.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414140455055657238

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.32.6
19.021.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.5
End3.3
red by 5.1
5928
#19
14.20.1
14.013.9
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End3.8
Second
1942
#16
13.92.6
10.913.5
Auto2.4
Teleop6.5
End5.0
red by 0.1
2096
#13
13.80.1
13.012.9
Auto5.8
Teleop4.8
End3.2
Third
13.81.6
8.710.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.0
End4.2
red by 2.6
2212
#34
11.20.1
12.011.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed