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Red39
338815.2
194213.9
571511.3
Blue40
673817.3
561415.6
331618.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38451020305060703940

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3388
#17
15.20.4
14.014.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.7
blue by 2.9
18.00.3
14.914.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.6
End4.0
Second
1942
#16
13.90.4
13.513.9
Auto2.4
Teleop6.5
End5.0
blue by 3.5
6738
#12
17.30.3
15.315.0
Auto5.0
Teleop9.1
End3.3
Third
5715
#29
11.30.4
8.28.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End1.2
blue by 4.4
5614
#18
15.60.3
12.312.0
Auto3.2
Teleop9.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed