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Red47
194320.2
157310.2
221211.2
Blue65
209613.8
563514.9
223117.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404220305060704765

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1943
#23
20.20.7
18.118.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End6.2
red by 2.4
2231
#10
17.80.8
15.115.9
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Second
2212
#34
11.20.7
11.912.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End2.1
blue by 3.7
5635
#11
14.90.8
12.112.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End6.5
Third
1573
#20
10.20.4
7.57.9
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End2.3
blue by 3.6
2096
#13
13.80.8
12.913.6
Auto5.8
Teleop4.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed