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Red61
223117.8
47849.7
458616.6
Blue53
561415.6
595117.6
529117.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374810203060706153

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2231
#10
17.82.8
15.718.6
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End2.4
red by 0.2
5951
#21
17.60.8
15.616.5
Auto5.2
Teleop8.2
End4.2
Second
4586
#28
16.62.8
14.517.4
Auto4.4
Teleop11.5
End0.8
blue by 0.9
17.60.5
16.116.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End3.8
Third
9.71.7
5.26.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End2.6
blue by 5.9
5614
#18
15.60.8
13.614.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed