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Red43
263015.7
432014.9
157310.2
Blue50
673613.8
308314.8
561415.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4047102030607080904350

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#22
15.70.2
15.415.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End2.8
red by 0.1
5614
#18
15.60.3
17.417.7
Auto3.2
Teleop9.6
End2.9
Second
4320
#27
14.90.2
13.113.2
Auto3.1
Teleop8.9
End2.9
red by 0.1
3083
#24
14.80.3
12.512.8
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End2.6
Third
1573
#20
10.20.1
9.79.8
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End2.3
blue by 3.6
13.80.2
14.314.5
Auto4.7
Teleop5.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed