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Red51
157723.2
321118.2
563613.9
Blue62
221218.5
303418.3
565413.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594920304070805162

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.1
23.423.3
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End7.4
red by 4.7
2212
#17
18.50.4
17.217.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End3.5
Second
18.20.1
18.318.2
Auto3.1
Teleop9.6
End5.5
blue by 0.1
3034
#12
18.30.4
17.017.3
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End4.3
Third
5636
#18
13.90.1
14.114.0
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End2.5
red by 0.6
5654
#27
13.30.4
12.012.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End4.3