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Red48
165715.5
223122.1
75546.8
Blue2
267916.6
46617.7
15769.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354010203050482

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.11.0
18.719.7
Auto5.8
Teleop13.4
End2.8
red by 5.4
16.64.0
14.010.0
Auto3.7
Teleop9.3
End3.6
Second
1657
#25
15.51.0
12.713.7
Auto6.5
Teleop5.7
End3.2
red by 6.4
1576
#30
9.04.0
13.99.9
Auto2.4
Teleop3.8
End2.9
Third
7554
#31Sur
6.81.0
1.72.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End1.4
blue by 0.9
4661
#29DQ
7.74.0
10.06.0
Auto1.9
Teleop3.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed