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Red46
475711.4
194321.5
303418.3
Blue65
307518.0
614913.2
561420.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48503540455560654665

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1943
#20
21.50.0
21.721.7
Auto4.1
Teleop10.4
End7.0
red by 1.5
20.00.3
17.517.9
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End4.2
Second
3034
#12
18.30.0
15.615.6
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End4.3
red by 0.3
18.00.3
17.117.4
Auto3.1
Teleop11.1
End3.8
Third
4757
#23
11.40.0
8.48.4
Auto4.1
Teleop5.8
End1.5
blue by 1.8
6149
#19
13.20.5
12.613.1
Auto4.1
Teleop6.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
63%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsEarned