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Red64
458621.4
513515.0
221218.5
Blue67
338818.2
674117.9
321118.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494620304060706467

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4586
#11
21.41.2
19.620.8
Auto4.2
Teleop13.5
End3.6
red by 3.2
18.21.4
15.516.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End5.5
Second
2212
#17
18.51.2
13.614.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End3.5
red by 0.4
18.21.4
14.115.5
Auto3.1
Teleop9.6
End5.5
Third
5135
#14
15.01.2
12.914.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.0
End4.5
blue by 2.9
17.91.4
14.015.4
Auto3.5
Teleop10.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsEarned47%HAB Docking oddsEarned