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Red50
194321.5
157723.2
563613.9
Blue46
165715.5
441610.0
458621.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57442030405070805046

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.5
18.918.4
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End7.4
red by 1.8
4586
#11
21.40.3
20.821.1
Auto4.2
Teleop13.5
End3.6
Second
1943
#20
21.50.5
21.721.2
Auto4.1
Teleop10.4
End7.0
red by 6.0
1657
#25
15.50.3
13.413.7
Auto6.5
Teleop5.7
End3.2
Third
5636
#18
13.90.5
13.613.2
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End2.5
red by 4.0
4416
#26
10.00.3
7.17.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsEarned