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Red37
303418.3
46499.2
71128.3
Blue36
75546.8
383515.6
458621.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33441020304050603736

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3034
#12
18.30.4
15.916.3
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End4.3
blue by 3.1
4586
#11
21.40.4
21.120.7
Auto4.2
Teleop13.5
End3.6
Second
4649
#28
9.20.6
7.37.9
Auto1.7
Teleop6.1
End1.5
blue by 6.5
3835
#21
15.60.4
17.016.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End4.8
Third
7112
#24
8.30.4
8.18.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End2.2
red by 1.5
7554
#31
6.80.4
4.03.6
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed