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Red30
513515.0
46617.7
71128.3
Blue53
221218.5
475711.4
441610.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323401020405060703053

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5135
#14
15.00.2
15.515.2
Auto4.5
Teleop6.0
End4.5
blue by 3.5
2212
#17
18.51.2
15.416.5
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End3.5
Second
7112
#24
8.30.2
8.48.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End2.2
blue by 3.1
4757
#23
11.41.2
10.511.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.8
End1.5
Third
4661
#29
7.70.4
6.46.0
Auto1.9
Teleop3.9
End1.9
blue by 2.2
4416
#26
10.01.2
6.57.7
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed