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Red60
303418.3
165715.5
674117.9
Blue42
158010.9
458621.4
475711.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49462030406070806042

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3034
#12
18.30.9
16.317.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End4.3
blue by 3.1
4586
#11
21.40.3
20.620.3
Auto4.2
Teleop13.5
End3.6
Second
17.90.9
15.316.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.7
End3.7
red by 6.5
4757
#23
11.40.3
11.711.4
Auto4.1
Teleop5.8
End1.5
Third
1657
#25
15.50.9
14.515.4
Auto6.5
Teleop5.7
End3.2
red by 4.5
1580
#22
10.90.3
10.910.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed