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Red45
307518.0
46499.2
458621.4
Blue58
383515.6
433828.9
158010.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49592030407080904558

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4586
#11
21.40.5
20.319.8
Auto4.2
Teleop13.5
End3.6
blue by 7.5
28.90.1
29.429.3
Auto3.5
Teleop15.6
End9.8
Second
18.00.5
18.217.7
Auto3.1
Teleop11.1
End3.8
red by 2.3
3835
#21
15.60.1
16.015.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End4.8
Third
4649
#28
9.20.8
8.37.5
Auto1.7
Teleop6.1
End1.5
blue by 1.8
1580
#22
10.90.1
10.610.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed65%HAB Docking oddsEarned