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Red50
267916.6
157419.9
303418.3
Blue44
46499.2
221218.5
194321.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5348203040607080905044

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1574
#10
19.90.0
18.618.5
Auto2.8
Teleop11.3
End5.8
blue by 1.6
1943
#20
21.50.1
20.220.1
Auto4.1
Teleop10.4
End7.0
Second
3034
#12
18.30.0
17.217.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End4.3
blue by 0.2
2212
#17
18.50.1
18.017.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End3.5
Third
16.60.1
14.714.7
Auto3.7
Teleop9.3
End3.6
red by 7.5
4649
#28
9.20.2
7.57.4
Auto1.7
Teleop6.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
62%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsMissed