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Red49
674117.9
75546.8
561420.0
Blue41
15769.0
474421.3
165715.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424720305060704941

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.6
18.919.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End4.2
blue by 1.3
4744
#16
21.30.2
20.220.0
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End2.9
Second
17.90.6
16.216.8
Auto3.5
Teleop10.7
End3.7
red by 2.4
1657
#25
15.50.2
15.215.0
Auto6.5
Teleop5.7
End3.2
Third
7554
#31
6.80.6
4.75.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End1.4
blue by 2.2
1576
#30
9.00.3
9.18.8
Auto2.4
Teleop3.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed