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Red42
158010.9
71128.3
194321.5
Blue48
674117.9
46617.7
458621.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404620305060704248

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1943
#20
21.50.3
20.120.4
Auto4.1
Teleop10.4
End7.0
red by 0.1
4586
#11
21.40.1
19.819.9
Auto4.2
Teleop13.5
End3.6
Second
1580
#22
10.90.3
10.610.8
Auto4.5
Teleop4.2
End2.2
blue by 6.9
17.90.1
16.816.9
Auto3.5
Teleop10.7
End3.7
Third
7112
#24
8.30.3
7.57.8
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End2.2
red by 0.5
4661
#29
7.70.1
6.87.0
Auto1.9
Teleop3.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsEarned