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Red47
441610.0
15769.0
303418.3
Blue55
383515.6
513515.0
267916.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37491020306070804755

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3034
#12
18.30.2
16.716.9
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End4.3
red by 1.7
16.60.2
15.715.9
Auto3.7
Teleop9.3
End3.6
Second
4416
#26
10.00.2
9.810.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End1.9
blue by 5.7
3835
#21
15.60.2
15.916.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End4.8
Third
1576
#30
9.00.2
8.89.0
Auto2.4
Teleop3.8
End2.9
blue by 6.0
5135
#14
15.00.2
15.015.2
Auto4.5
Teleop6.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed58%HAB Docking oddsMissed