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Red70
307518.0
433828.9
75546.8
Blue53
458621.4
267916.6
158010.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58512030407080907053

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.0
29.429.4
Auto3.5
Teleop15.6
End9.8
red by 7.5
4586
#11
21.40.1
21.321.4
Auto4.2
Teleop13.5
End3.6
Second
18.00.0
18.518.5
Auto3.1
Teleop11.1
End3.8
red by 1.3
16.60.1
16.516.7
Auto3.7
Teleop9.3
End3.6
Third
7554
#31
6.80.0
7.37.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End1.4
blue by 4.2
1580
#22
10.90.1
10.911.0
Auto4.5
Teleop4.2
End2.2