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Red65
221218.5
303418.3
565413.3
Blue64
474421.3
338818.2
194321.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5064203040607080906564

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2212
#17
18.50.3
17.718.0
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End3.5
blue by 3.0
1943
#20
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.4
End7.0
Second
3034
#12
18.30.3
17.417.8
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End4.3
blue by 3.0
4744
#16
21.30.0
21.321.3
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End2.9
Third
5654
#27
13.30.3
12.512.8
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End4.3
blue by 4.9
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End5.5