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Red73
331621.3
555422.5
194218.8
Blue63
717722.6
157611.9
623014.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66523040607080907363

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.2
22.422.6
Auto3.4
Teleop15.3
End3.8
blue by 0.1
7177
#10
22.60.2
22.622.9
Auto5.1
Teleop11.7
End5.7
Second
21.30.2
21.221.4
Auto5.9
Teleop11.5
End3.9
red by 6.5
6230
#24
14.80.2
14.815.0
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End2.3
Third
1942
#14
18.80.2
18.719.0
Auto2.8
Teleop9.3
End6.7
red by 6.9
11.90.2
12.012.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End4.7