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Red74
209616.1
193723.8
263023.0
Blue41
592813.2
194218.8
674012.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5440102030506070807441

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.81.5
21.823.3
Auto3.6
Teleop12.5
End7.7
red by 4.9
1942
#14
18.80.2
15.916.1
Auto2.8
Teleop9.3
End6.7
Second
23.01.5
16.618.1
Auto3.7
Teleop13.8
End5.6
red by 9.8
5928
#34
13.20.2
13.113.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End2.0
Third
2096
#30
16.11.5
13.214.7
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End2.7
red by 3.2
6740
#21
12.90.2
9.09.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsEarned42%HAB Docking oddsMissed