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Red50
555422.5
571514.9
706711.1
Blue44
466110.2
46496.1
193723.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424020253035455055605044

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.5
18.218.7
Auto3.4
Teleop15.3
End3.8
blue by 1.3
23.80.2
20.820.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.5
End7.7
Second
5715
#25
14.90.6
11.311.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.8
End1.9
red by 4.6
4661
#18
10.20.2
7.77.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.4
End3.2
Third
7067
#33
11.10.5
10.611.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End1.3
red by 5.0
4649
#36
6.10.2
9.29.0
Auto1.5
Teleop4.6
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed53%HAB Docking oddsMissed