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Red29
209616.1
592813.2
306518.5
Blue64
157611.9
610421.3
169026.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44582030405070802964

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#27
18.51.2
13.812.6
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End4.8
blue by 7.7
26.20.4
27.027.4
Auto2.9
Teleop15.5
End7.8
Second
2096
#30
16.11.2
13.812.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End2.7
blue by 5.2
6104
#29
21.30.4
19.319.7
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End4.1
Third
5928
#34
13.21.3
14.212.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End2.0
red by 1.3
11.90.4
9.09.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed14%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed55%HAB Docking oddsEarned