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Red50
707917.5
571514.9
466110.2
Blue60
267918.9
674012.9
306518.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4453203040607080905060

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7079
#23
17.50.1
18.418.5
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End5.4
blue by 1.3
2679
#13
18.90.4
19.520.0
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End3.3
Second
5715
#25
14.90.1
13.313.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.8
End1.9
blue by 3.7
3065
#27
18.50.4
18.418.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End4.8
Third
4661
#18
10.20.1
10.110.3
Auto2.6
Teleop4.4
End3.2
blue by 2.7
6740
#21
12.90.4
12.613.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsEarned39%HAB Docking oddsMissed