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Red85
195410.9
595123.5
169026.2
Blue56
46496.1
673820.8
598717.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604220808556

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.21.5
26.127.6
Auto2.9
Teleop15.5
End7.8
red by 5.4
6738
#12
20.81.1
19.921.0
Auto5.8
Teleop10.2
End4.7
Second
23.51.5
22.423.9
Auto5.3
Teleop13.3
End4.8
red by 6.3
5987
#22
17.11.1
14.715.8
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End3.9
Third
1954
#31
10.91.5
8.49.9
Auto4.5
Teleop4.5
End1.9
red by 4.7
4649
#36
6.11.1
5.36.4
Auto1.5
Teleop4.6
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
11%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
54%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed