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Red51
193723.8
333923.0
308314.7
Blue41
599013.6
194218.8
614914.3
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70492030406080905141

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.81.4
23.922.5
Auto3.6
Teleop12.5
End7.7
red by 4.9
1942
#14
18.80.6
17.917.3
Auto2.8
Teleop9.3
End6.7
Second
23.01.4
25.724.3
Auto3.1
Teleop11.3
End8.7
red by 8.7
6149
#20
14.30.6
15.014.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End3.3
Third
3083
#26
14.71.4
16.415.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End1.6
red by 1.1
5990
#19
13.60.6
13.613.0
Auto3.3
Teleop6.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
95%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsEarned