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Red58
674012.9
193723.8
571514.9
Blue38
616812.8
598717.1
610421.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4247203060705838

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.81.2
20.621.8
Auto3.6
Teleop12.5
End7.7
red by 2.5
6104
#29
21.30.9
19.718.9
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End4.1
Second
5715
#25
14.91.3
11.813.1
Auto3.2
Teleop9.8
End1.9
blue by 2.3
5987
#22
17.10.9
14.313.5
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End3.9
Third
6740
#21
12.91.2
7.89.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.8
End2.5
red by 0.1
6168
#32
12.80.9
10.810.0
Auto3.4
Teleop7.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed