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Red46
199411.7
478614.1
93520.4
Blue51
642417.4
514111.5
182519.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37441020305060704651

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
935
#5
20.41.2
13.414.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End5.1
red by 0.5
19.91.0
13.514.6
Auto3.7
Teleop13.9
End2.3
Second
4786
#18
14.11.2
12.513.7
Auto5.4
Teleop4.1
End4.7
blue by 3.2
6424
#11
17.41.0
15.616.7
Auto3.4
Teleop7.9
End6.0
Third
1994
#32
11.71.2
9.310.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End4.1
red by 0.3
5141
#14
11.51.0
12.513.5
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsEarned