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Red42
694118.1
440021.5
514111.5
Blue33
11089.3
198718.2
690719.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484834384244464233

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.2
18.918.7
Auto3.8
Teleop13.8
End3.9
red by 2.1
6907
#20
19.41.4
15.914.6
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End4.3
Second
18.10.3
13.713.4
Auto3.6
Teleop10.0
End4.5
blue by 0.1
18.21.4
15.714.3
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End4.5
Third
5141
#14
11.50.3
12.412.1
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End2.9
red by 2.1
1108
#35
9.31.4
13.612.2
Auto3.8
Teleop3.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed