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Red50
778516.6
642417.4
694013.3
Blue37
182712.9
512614.4
199716.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483910203060705037

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6424
#11
17.40.6
19.119.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.9
End6.0
red by 0.5
1997
#15
16.80.0
16.116.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.6
End6.1
Second
7785
#10
16.60.6
14.615.1
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End4.4
red by 2.1
5126
#26
14.40.0
11.611.5
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End4.2
Third
6940
#13
13.30.6
11.411.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.2
End1.6
red by 0.4
1827
#12
12.90.0
9.69.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsEarned