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Red36
171017.8
346512.1
514111.5
Blue39
234512.7
199716.8
501314.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4146203050603639

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1710
#21
17.80.3
13.312.9
Auto2.8
Teleop12.5
End2.5
red by 1.0
1997
#15
16.80.8
16.015.2
Auto4.1
Teleop6.6
End6.1
Second
3465
#31
12.10.2
11.010.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.8
End2.3
blue by 2.2
5013
#25
14.30.8
10.59.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End3.4
Third
5141
#14
11.50.3
14.614.3
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End2.9
blue by 1.2
2345
#17
12.70.8
16.615.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed56%HAB Docking oddsMissed