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Red63
198628.5
778516.6
346512.1
Blue14
9387.7
182712.9
171017.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433902060801006314

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.52.5
19.021.5
Auto4.1
Teleop15.5
End8.9
red by 10.7
1710
#21
17.82.6
14.812.3
Auto2.8
Teleop12.5
End2.5
Second
7785
#10
16.63.2
15.712.5
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End4.4
red by 3.7
1827
#12
12.92.6
10.78.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End3.5
Third
3465
#31
12.12.0
11.813.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.8
End2.3
red by 4.4
938
#36
7.72.6
11.48.8
Auto2.4
Teleop2.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed